S&P holds positive outlook on India
Says GDP will 6-7.1% annually in 2024-2026 fiscal years
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Structural Improvement
- Weak loans will decline to 3-3.5% of gross advances by FY25
- Healthy corporate balance sheets
- Tighter underwriting standards
- Improved risk-management practices
New Delhi: India’s economic growth prospects should remain strong over the medium term, with GDP expanding 6-7.1 per cent annually in fiscal years 2024-2026, S&P Global Ratings said on Thursday.
In a report titled ‘Global Banks Country-By-Country Outlook 2024’, S&P said the banking sector’s weak loans will decline to 3-3.5 per cent of gross advances by March 31, 2025, on the back of structural improvement, including healthy corporate balance sheets, tighter underwriting standards and improved risk-management practices. Interest rates in India are unlikely to rise materially, and this should limit the risk for the banking industry, it added.
“Unsecured personal loans have grown rapidly and could contribute to incremental NPLs. We believe underwriting standards for retail loans generally remain healthy and overall level of delinquencies remains within acceptable limits for this product category,” S&P Primary Credit Analyst Deepali Seth Chhabria said.
The report said that global uncertainties will have a lesser impact on the Indian economy. Slower global growth and external demand will weigh on economic activity and could fuel further inflation. However, given that India is domestically oriented, the agency expects the economic growth to be less affected, it added.
